Depends what the gentlemen wants - he still has to make his own mind up...
I tend to buy cheap in a new line of micros, then purchase better tools down the line if I have success and like the toolset. I cut my losses if I do not enjoy the experience (Cypress PSOC for example).
I did the same with MSP430/PIC's & Xilinx/Lattice FPGA gear too (all of which I have had success with). I am contemplating a JTAGICE mkII for AVR's now - but I can not quite justify it at the moment (the code in my current commercial platform is stable and has been running for months already, so until I develop another AVR based project there is no reason to upgrade my tools...).